To me, the 2015 Blue Jays are like a multi-course meal in an expensive restaurant, cooked by a chef who is new to the job. Most of the hitters are at their peak or even past it, as are two of the starters, but the rest of the pitchers and two of the hitters still need more time before they are ready.
The good news is that the upside for the Jays is almost limitless. If good fortune strikes, the Jays could have a solid starting rotation, three excellent relief pitchers, and productive hitters up and down the lineup. But, if this is the year that good fortune was to strike the Jays, Marcus Stroman would not have gotten hurt. I predict an 81-81 finish, third place, and probably a new GM and manager next year.
But the rest of the American League East is not overwhelmingly powerful this year. The consensus best team appears to be the Red Sox, who finished last in 2014. It’s quite likely that the effects of luck will outweigh any differences in skill.
The order of finish in the AL East, in my non-expert opinion:
Yes, I’m picking the Yankees to finish last. No offense to New York fans, but: I think I’m going to enjoy this.